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Post by jash on Oct 21, 2013 13:31:13 GMT -5
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Post by jash on Oct 21, 2013 13:32:16 GMT -5
Here are the adjusted points per game by club among clubs who have played at least 50 games. Adjustment is made by classic/athena level.
1.68: Alpharetta Ambush Select Soccer (230.44 adjusted points in 137 games) 1.63: AFC Lightning (105.80 adjusted points in 65 games) 1.50: Tophat (123.38 adjusted points in 82 games) 1.50: Augusta Arsenal Soccer Club (159.19 adjusted points in 106 games) 1.50: NASA Select (445.69 adjusted points in 297 games) 1.39: Concorde Fire S.C. (417.90 adjusted points in 300 games) 1.39: Decatur-DeKalb YMCA Soccer Club (84.86 adjusted points in 61 games) 1.36: CFC Red Star (130.80 adjusted points in 96 games) 1.35: GOL Soccer Academy (214.76 adjusted points in 159 games) 1.33: AFC Lightning (123.95 adjusted points in 93 games) 1.33: United F A- 01 (465.40 adjusted points in 350 games) 1.33: Lanier Soccer Association Select Program (95.45 adjusted points in 72 games) 1.32: Norcross Soccer Academy - Academy & Select (277.90 adjusted points in 210 games) 1.28: Atlanta Fire United Select (331.92 adjusted points in 260 games) 1.24: GOL Soccer Academy (117.47 adjusted points in 95 games) 1.23: South Georgia United (106.17 adjusted points in 86 games) 1.18: Georgia Rush Select (118.97 adjusted points in 101 games) 1.17: YMCA Arsenal Rome (59.67 adjusted points in 51 games) 1.13: S S A (432.08 adjusted points in 383 games) 1.10: Macon SC Select (93.33 adjusted points in 85 games) 1.09: Inter Atlanta FC Blues (126.06 adjusted points in 116 games) 1.06: Dacula Select (116.86 adjusted points in 110 games) 1.05: Roswell Santos Soccer Club (106.00 adjusted points in 101 games) 1.02: North Georgia Soccer Association (53.30 adjusted points in 52 games) 1.02: RYSA Select & Academy (82.98 adjusted points in 81 games) 0.95: Cobb YMCA Academy & Select (155.37 adjusted points in 163 games) 0.94: Chiefs FC (121.01 adjusted points in 129 games) 0.86: HCSA Thunder Soccer Club (61.77 adjusted points in 72 games) 0.85: Georgia Futbol Club (110.86 adjusted points in 131 games) 0.84: Cherokee Impact Select (66.52 adjusted points in 79 games) 0.83: Athens United SA (60.50 adjusted points in 73 games) 0.83: SSA Oconee (75.10 adjusted points in 91 games) 0.80: Griffin Y.S.C. (50.54 adjusted points in 63 games) 0.76: Fayette Futbol Club (50.73 adjusted points in 67 games) 0.72: CGSA Strikers Soccer Club (63.05 adjusted points in 88 games) 0.71: SSA Savannah United (71.23 adjusted points in 101 games) 0.58: Villa Rica Soccer Association (33.13 adjusted points in 57 games)
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Post by jash on Oct 21, 2013 13:33:29 GMT -5
Yellow and red cards (per game) for clubs that have played at least 50 games this season:
yellow cards
0.52: Georgia Rush Select (53 yellow cards in 101 games) 0.47: GOL Soccer Academy (75 yellow cards in 159 games) 0.42: Norcross Soccer Academy - Academy & Select (88 yellow cards in 210 games) 0.41: AFC Lightning (38 yellow cards in 93 games) 0.40: Atlanta Fire United Select (105 yellow cards in 260 games) 0.38: Griffin Y.S.C. (24 yellow cards in 63 games) 0.35: NASA Select (105 yellow cards in 298 games) 0.33: CFC Red Star (32 yellow cards in 96 games) 0.33: Dacula Select (37 yellow cards in 111 games) 0.30: S S A (115 yellow cards in 383 games) 0.30: Chiefs FC (39 yellow cards in 130 games) 0.30: Villa Rica Soccer Association (17 yellow cards in 57 games) 0.28: Cobb YMCA Academy & Select (46 yellow cards in 164 games) 0.28: South Georgia United (24 yellow cards in 86 games) 0.27: YMCA Arsenal Rome (14 yellow cards in 51 games) 0.27: CGSA Strikers Soccer Club (24 yellow cards in 88 games) 0.27: SSA Savannah United (28 yellow cards in 103 games) 0.27: Macon SC Select (23 yellow cards in 85 games) 0.26: Roswell Santos Soccer Club (26 yellow cards in 101 games) 0.25: RYSA Select & Academy (20 yellow cards in 81 games) 0.25: United F A- 01 (86 yellow cards in 350 games) 0.24: Georgia Futbol Club (32 yellow cards in 131 games) 0.24: Inter Atlanta FC Blues (28 yellow cards in 116 games) 0.23: Athens United SA (17 yellow cards in 73 games) 0.22: Fayette Futbol Club (15 yellow cards in 67 games) 0.22: Augusta Arsenal Soccer Club (23 yellow cards in 106 games) 0.22: Concorde Fire S.C. (65 yellow cards in 300 games) 0.22: Cherokee Impact Select (17 yellow cards in 79 games) 0.21: Lanier Soccer Association Select Program (15 yellow cards in 72 games) 0.20: Decatur-DeKalb YMCA Soccer Club (12 yellow cards in 61 games) 0.19: SSA Oconee (17 yellow cards in 91 games) 0.17: North Georgia Soccer Association (9 yellow cards in 52 games) 0.16: Alpharetta Ambush Select Soccer (22 yellow cards in 137 games) 0.14: AFC Lightning (9 yellow cards in 65 games) 0.11: HCSA Thunder Soccer Club (8 yellow cards in 72 games) 0.06: GOL Soccer Academy (6 yellow cards in 95 games) 0.06: Tophat (5 yellow cards in 83 games)
red cards
0.07: Lanier Soccer Association Select Program (5 red cards in 72 games) 0.06: Georgia Rush Select (6 red cards in 101 games) 0.05: CFC Red Star (5 red cards in 96 games) 0.04: GOL Soccer Academy (7 red cards in 159 games) 0.04: Cobb YMCA Academy & Select (7 red cards in 164 games) 0.04: YMCA Arsenal Rome (2 red cards in 51 games) 0.04: Villa Rica Soccer Association (2 red cards in 57 games) 0.03: Griffin Y.S.C. (2 red cards in 63 games) 0.03: S S A (11 red cards in 383 games) 0.03: Norcross Soccer Academy - Academy & Select (6 red cards in 210 games) 0.03: Athens United SA (2 red cards in 73 games) 0.03: NASA Select (8 red cards in 298 games) 0.02: South Georgia United (2 red cards in 86 games) 0.02: Georgia Futbol Club (3 red cards in 131 games) 0.02: CGSA Strikers Soccer Club (2 red cards in 88 games) 0.02: SSA Oconee (2 red cards in 91 games) 0.02: AFC Lightning (2 red cards in 93 games) 0.02: Atlanta Fire United Select (5 red cards in 260 games) 0.02: Dacula Select (2 red cards in 111 games) 0.02: Chiefs FC (2 red cards in 130 games) 0.01: HCSA Thunder Soccer Club (1 red cards in 72 games) 0.01: Cherokee Impact Select (1 red cards in 79 games) 0.01: RYSA Select & Academy (1 red cards in 81 games) 0.01: Tophat (1 red cards in 83 games) 0.01: Macon SC Select (1 red cards in 85 games) 0.01: United F A- 01 (4 red cards in 350 games) 0.01: GOL Soccer Academy (1 red cards in 95 games) 0.01: Concorde Fire S.C. (3 red cards in 300 games) 0.01: Roswell Santos Soccer Club (1 red cards in 101 games) 0.01: SSA Savannah United (1 red cards in 103 games) 0.01: Augusta Arsenal Soccer Club (1 red cards in 106 games) 0.01: Inter Atlanta FC Blues (1 red cards in 116 games) 0.01: Alpharetta Ambush Select Soccer (1 red cards in 137 games) 0.00: AFC Lightning (0 red cards in 65 games) 0.00: Decatur-DeKalb YMCA Soccer Club (0 red cards in 61 games) 0.00: Fayette Futbol Club (0 red cards in 67 games) 0.00: North Georgia Soccer Association (0 red cards in 52 games)
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Post by jash on Oct 21, 2013 13:34:51 GMT -5
Last but not least, the always-controversial home/away points per game ratio:
2.06: Cherokee Impact Select (93 points in 33 home games, 63 points in 46 away games) 1.75: HCSA Thunder Soccer Club (102 points in 37 home games, 55 points in 35 away games) 1.68: CFC Red Star (159 points in 49 home games, 91 points in 47 away games) 1.61: CGSA Strikers Soccer Club (82 points in 40 home games, 61 points in 48 away games) 1.54: Georgia Rush Select (157 points in 55 home games, 85 points in 46 away games) 1.51: SSA Oconee (160 points in 53 home games, 76 points in 38 away games) 1.43: RYSA Select & Academy (123 points in 43 home games, 76 points in 38 away games) 1.39: North Georgia Soccer Association (97 points in 30 home games, 51 points in 22 away games) 1.36: Inter Atlanta FC Blues (161 points in 54 home games, 136 points in 62 away games) 1.36: Fayette Futbol Club (109 points in 34 home games, 78 points in 33 away games) 1.35: Athens United SA (80 points in 36 home games, 61 points in 37 away games) 1.34: GOL Soccer Academy (130 points in 47 home games, 99 points in 48 away games) 1.28: NASA Select (439 points in 147 home games, 351 points in 151 away games) 1.27: Norcross Soccer Academy - Academy & Select (277 points in 103 home games, 227 points in 107 away games) 1.25: GOL Soccer Academy (239 points in 86 home games, 162 points in 73 away games) 1.25: SSA Savannah United (126 points in 55 home games, 88 points in 48 away games) 1.23: AFC Lightning (121 points in 49 home games, 88 points in 44 away games) 1.22: YMCA Arsenal Rome (86 points in 22 home games, 93 points in 29 away games) 1.19: Roswell Santos Soccer Club (163 points in 48 home games, 151 points in 53 away games) 1.17: Cobb YMCA Academy & Select (192 points in 79 home games, 176 points in 85 away games) 1.17: Georgia Futbol Club (163 points in 67 home games, 133 points in 64 away games) 1.15: United F A- 01 (408 points in 166 home games, 392 points in 184 away games) 1.14: Griffin Y.S.C. (101 points in 37 home games, 62 points in 26 away games) 1.12: Villa Rica Soccer Association (67 points in 31 home games, 50 points in 26 away games) 1.11: Lanier Soccer Association Select Program (113 points in 37 home games, 96 points in 35 away games) 1.11: Atlanta Fire United Select (324 points in 129 home games, 296 points in 131 away games) 1.07: S S A (445 points in 196 home games, 398 points in 187 away games) 1.07: Concorde Fire S.C. (369 points in 149 home games, 351 points in 151 away games) 0.99: Tophat (105 points in 46 home games, 85 points in 37 away games) 0.98: AFC Lightning (80 points in 30 home games, 95 points in 35 away games) 0.98: Chiefs FC (109 points in 61 home games, 126 points in 69 away games) 0.97: Macon SC Select (98 points in 45 home games, 90 points in 40 away games) 0.95: Dacula Select (115 points in 50 home games, 148 points in 61 away games) 0.94: South Georgia United (144 points in 45 home games, 140 points in 41 away games) 0.88: Decatur-DeKalb YMCA Soccer Club (66 points in 28 home games, 88 points in 33 away games) 0.83: Alpharetta Ambush Select Soccer (162 points in 71 home games, 181 points in 66 away games) 0.81: Augusta Arsenal Soccer Club (121 points in 52 home games, 155 points in 54 away games)
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Post by zizou on Oct 22, 2013 8:03:10 GMT -5
Here are the adjusted points per game by club among clubs who have played at least 50 games. Adjustment is made by classic/athena level. Very interesting. Thanks for doing this. Would be interesting to see these data by Athena/Classic. Also, one of the reasons I initially applied the adjustment to only U13 Athena data (in addition to laziness) was because I could imagine certain clubs saying something like: "Of course our adjusted numbers are low. All of our best teams are in a different league by U14." From my initial look, though, it would appear that these clubs do not have the best teams at U13, which is a minor complication for their argument.
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Post by zizou on Oct 22, 2013 8:08:35 GMT -5
Last but not least, the always-controversial home/away points per game. Wow, so clubs without a home pitch advantage are really in the minority. Does the Singapore crime boss know about this? Vegas?
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Post by Soccerhouse on Oct 22, 2013 8:34:44 GMT -5
jash, have you figured out what point differential is actually significantly different for the home/away stat? In general is a 10% difference statistically significant?
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Post by jash on Oct 22, 2013 11:48:15 GMT -5
jash, have you figured out what point differential is actually significantly different for the home/away stat? In general is a 10% difference statistically significant? Well, remember on the home/away it's a ratio. The first thing I do is normalize the points by the number of home or away games. Then that gives me home points per game and away points per game (average across all teams). Dividing those two gives the ratio, showing something a bit different than points. For example, if someone has a home/away ppg ratio of 1.5, then statistically speaking, a team from that club is 1.5 times as likely to win or tie at home as they are away. But even that isn't really a predictor in the future, because every game is a new game. The stat is controversial because so many things (including outright luck in scheduling) can have an impact on the numbers. I still find it interesting as a general number, but I would personally only lump clubs into one of three groupings: - Home/Away PPG Ratio < 0.9 - poor home team performance
- Home/Away PPG Ratio > 1.2 - good home team performance
- Home/Away PPG Ration between 0.9 and 1.2 - average home team performance
I would also say that the farther we are into the season the more value this stat has (more games to work with).
I am sure I didn't answer your question, so the answer is no, I haven't really figured out the intervals that would be statistically significant. I'm only a statistical dabbler
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