Spring 2014 Bracket Predictions - ALL Brackets

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jash
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Posts: 771

Spring 2014 Bracket Predictions - ALL Brackets Mar 17, 2014 8:14:21 GMT -5 Soccerhouse and jack4343 like this

Quote

Post by jash on Mar 17, 2014 8:14:21 GMT -5

I take the GYSA team results and feed them into a website (that I don't run) that creates a lot of interesting graphs and probabilities. I will keep this up to date every week once most of the scores from the weekend have come in. Here are all of the links:

www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU13ClassicI.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU13ClassicII.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU13ClassicIII.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU13ClassicIV.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU13ClassicV.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU13ClassicVI.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU14ClassicI.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU14ClassicII.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU14ClassicIII.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU14ClassicIVSouth.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU14ClassicIVNorth.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU14ClassicVSouth.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSABU14ClassicVNorth.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU13AthenaA.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU13AthenaB.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU13AthenaC.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU13AthenaD.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU13AthenaE.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU13AthenaF.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU14AthenaA.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU14AthenaB.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU14AthenaC.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU14AthenaD.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU14AthenaE.html
www.sportsclubstats.com/You/GYSAU14AthenaF.html

How this works:

I feed in information about the group, including things like how many points for a win/tie/loss, how often ties happen (historically speaking), how many teams are promoted or relegated, and a lot of other stuff.

Then I feed in the entire season schedule, with scores where they exist.

Once the system has all that it starts running simulations. It picks random scores for every game weighted just a little by the team's previous results. Then it calculates how the season would end with those random scores. Then it does it again, and again, and again, about 10 million times per bracket. This is much like an analysis method called the Monte Carlo Method.

Then it tallies up all those results and makes predictions. These are just weighted guesses, and the farther we get into the season the more accurate those guesses will become.

Remember to explore. Move your mouse over team names, click on team names. Lots of interesting stuff is hidden behind those links.

Again, I do not run sportsclubstats, I just provide the data to create these 'league' pages. It's a free service (donationware) run by an individual.

Soccerhouse Administrator just trying to make a place for folks to post stuff about soccer Posts: 6,911	Spring 2014 Bracket Predictions - ALL Brackets Mar 17, 2014 8:27:45 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by Soccerhouse on Mar 17, 2014 8:27:45 GMT -5 jash is back in full force. love this stuff!!!

jash
Moderator

Posts: 771

Spring 2014 Bracket Predictions - ALL Brackets Mar 26, 2014 12:35:52 GMT -5

Quote

Post by jash on Mar 26, 2014 12:35:52 GMT -5

Everything in all of these links has been updated with the latest results. Enjoy.

Mar 17, 2014 8:14:21 GMT -5 jash said:

jash Moderator Posts: 771	Spring 2014 Bracket Predictions - ALL Brackets Apr 4, 2014 20:27:32 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by jash on Apr 4, 2014 20:27:32 GMT -5 Everything updated again from last weekend's results (results are STILL not complete though -- lots of rainouts). See links above.

pogba Rec Posts: 1	Spring 2014 Bracket Predictions - ALL Brackets Apr 7, 2014 8:58:33 GMT -5 Soccerhouse likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by pogba on Apr 7, 2014 8:58:33 GMT -5 This is nice. I would like to see this applied to the high school teams as well (AAA girls/boys preferably). How long would it take you to do something like that?

jash
Moderator

Posts: 771

Spring 2014 Bracket Predictions - ALL Brackets Apr 25, 2014 10:41:37 GMT -5

Quote

Post by jash on Apr 25, 2014 10:41:37 GMT -5

Mar 17, 2014 8:14:21 GMT -5 jash said:

Everything is updated from all the games entered so far. I looked at high school, but with the EuroSport site having so many technical problems over the last couple weeks, I was never able to fully develop the code to extract the data and process it to put into the sportsclubstats site -- and now it's too late since the regular season is pretty much over. I think for next year I'll be able to do it though.

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Spring 2014 Bracket Predictions - ALL Brackets

Post by jash on Mar 17, 2014 8:14:21 GMT -5

Post by Soccerhouse on Mar 17, 2014 8:27:45 GMT -5

Post by jash on Mar 26, 2014 12:35:52 GMT -5

Post by jash on Apr 4, 2014 20:27:32 GMT -5

Post by pogba on Apr 7, 2014 8:58:33 GMT -5

Post by jash on Apr 25, 2014 10:41:37 GMT -5

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